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October 18, 2006 � Issue #293 | |
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Trading Education $700 Discount Expires next week on Peak Performance 101 Workshop
Feature Article Don�t Be Tempted by Offshore Tax Shelters, by Jim Crimmins
Workshops 2006 Workshop Schedule
Trading Tip Value Investing � Marty Whitman, by D. R. Barton, Jr.
Listening In... Concentrating on Profits Will Lead to Losses
$700 Discount Expires Next Week on Peak Performance 101 Workshop Seven money-making benefits You�ll thoroughly understand how these three key ingredients can control your life. Most of all, you�ll know how you can control them. 2. Understand the components of a low-risk idea. You must understand what makes up a low-risk idea. It�s not what you think. 3. Understanding why position sizing is so critical to your bottom line results! Think how calm you could be, knowing that your risk is always the same. 4. Learn 15 ways to develop rock-solid discipline in your trading. Real winners maintain discipline that allows them to charge ahead of others in the field. 5. Learn Dr. Tharp�s Ten-Task model for successful trading and investing. You�ll have tools at your disposal that the average investor or trader never even thought about. 6. Learn how to act quickly with sureness and confidence. You�ll learn how to develop the kind of confidence only the best traders and investors have. 7. Learn how to develop a plan for trading that will set you way above the crowd. Gain an edge over amateur investors. Dr. Tharp understands these disciplines. He is an expert at coaching others to use them. Learn More About Van Tharp's Core Workshop
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Learn More...workshop descriptions, dates, pricing...
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Review of Market Models: by D.R. Barton Marty Whitman. If you do any value investing, few names are as respected as his. And for good reason. Whitman�s Third Avenue Value Fund has returned 16.32% per year since 1990. The Third Avenue Value Fund is run with a mantra of four key value components for companies in which they invest: 1. Super strong financial positions 2. Reasonable managements 3. Understandable businesses 4. Price that represents a meaningful discount from their estimate of what the company would be worth were the business a private company or takeover candidate. I think it�s pretty easy to see that the fourth item is the 20% that brings 80% of the results. So the big question is this: �How does Third Avenue Value Fund evaluate price?� Whitman has pointed out in a quarterly letter to investors that, �No attempts are made to predict what near-term prices will be�� This means that they don�t look at any technical analysis, even for entry or exit timing. (My guess is that someone with green eyeshades on does some help with entry timing once they�re ready to pull the trigger. Whitman is a big picture guy, but he�s no dummy�) But the fund�s approach to company valuation is much more even-handed. While Whitman eschews Graham and Dodd�s advice to ��not take the asset-value factor seriously,� he also does not rely solely on asset valuation taking, instead, what he calls a balanced approach. What this means is that Third Avenue Value Fund always uses �book value� as their starting point for analysis, but rarely uses it as the only tool. They traditionally use various other characteristics to adjust their view of book value, including portfolio holdings (the appreciation of which are not captured as earnings), the value of undeveloped land, and future revenues for contracted rents or insurance premiums, just to name a few. In short, Third Avenue Value Fund does good old-fashioned leg work to plow through 10K�s and then digs deeper into the business model to find areas that aren�t adequately reflected in either the book value or earnings picture. Once they�ve identified a candidate, it�s likely to stay in their portfolio for a long time, and stocks are typically only removed if their underlying fundamental picture changes. Can you apply Whitman�s techniques to your portfolio? If you are a patient, long-term investor, chances are that you can. You could even consider including Third Avenue Value Fund (TAVFX) in your portfolio and let Whitman and his staff do the digging. The fund has performed impressively with its recent highs reaching more than 40% above the spring of 2000 highs. Here�s the chart:
Great Trading!
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Listening
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Concentrating on Profits Will Lead to Losses Have you ever wondered why you can paper trade successfully, but fail miserably when real money is at stake? The reason is simple: the trader who concentrates on profits will have difficulty winning, as will the investor who concentrates on losses. |
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Copyright 2006 the International Institute of Trading Mastery, Inc. |
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Quote: "I feel my success comes from my love of the market. I am not a casual trader. It is my life. I have a passion for trading. It is not merely a hobby or even a career choice for me. There is no question that this is what I am supposed to do with my life." |
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Free Trading Simulation Game A computerized version of Van's famous "marble game." It is designed to teach you the important principles of proper position sizing. Download the 1st three levels of the game for free. Register now. |
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