One of the biggest influences on inflation this year has been commodity-based inflation. Food, and energy in particular, but also industrial metals. Commodities are often key harbingers of shifts in economic growth and economic cycles, so we always want to listen to what commodities are saying for insights. Some major bellwethers in the commodity complex […]
One year ago, we began to pound the table that Modern Portfolio Theory was broken. The traditional 60% Long Equities/40% Long Fixed Income was setting up to cause losses that investors were unprepared for. In fact, people were incentivized to take on even greater risk by assuming larger equity allocations because fixed income interest rates
Every trader falls into one of two camps: the overtrader category or the afraid-to-trade category. My 30 years of training traders has taught me that, no matter a trader’s successes or struggles, every trader falls within one of these camps. When it comes to differentiating an overtrader from those afraid to trade, the distinguishing factor
The ABC Secrets That Prevent Overtrading By, Chuck Whitman Read More »
The problem with the stock market is that breaks in the market come so fast. Before you blink, your portfolio is taking on large losses. Then you go into hope mode and wait to see if it comes back. But what if it doesn’t…Let’s look into the latest Market Timing Update from REED$TRADER. We got
Market Timing Update March 14, 2022 By, Chuck Whitman Read More »
Several clients have contacted the VTI team with concerns about Mark Boucher. We appreciate your integrity in asking and we want to address the confusion. Mark co-teaches Reed$trader workshops with me for the Van Tharp Institute. Mark’s name is Mark Joseph Peterson Boucher. Mark lived in the San Francisco Bay area most of his life
The gains that you have reaped in the last few years are vulnerable to the market taking them all back. You have been feeling great about your financial progress in the last few years. The memories of your portfolio getting smashed in the COVID Crash and your financial stress has finally been fading away. However,
Dave was an electrical engineer who hated Corporate America, loved numbers, and was drawn to trading because of its freedom. Dave has a trading system that is a mean reversion system in S&P’s. He likes this system because he gets validated quickly with quick and frequent wins. His system is correct 60% of the time,
Using the Slow Reeds Trailing Stop to Let Your Profits Run By, Mark Boucher Read More »
Significant internal and ancillary indicators can help a trader find strong odds and highly asymmetric times where the upside potential vastly outweighs the potential risk. One of those indicators we use, and teach, in our VTI/REED$TRADER Stock Market Timing Workshop, highlights possible short-term market lows. Today, let’s take a brief look at the Jeff Clark-VIX
Last year, I wrote an article for the VTI Weekly Newsletter (April 8, 2020) entitled “Same Trades, Different Views. Improve Your Results with Positive Reversion”. In this article, I introduced the concept of the Excursion Ratio, which I now call the Capture Rate. The Capture Rate uses two different inputs. The first is Maximum Favorable
How to Sell the High—or Better By, Chuck Whitman Read More »
Last fall, Van and I held a workshop called, “How Big Money Trades.” The purpose of this workshop was to teach students how the market works and who are the participants. By understanding the participants and their objectives, we can use their behavior to find strong edges in the market that we can exploit in
Letting Big Money Show You the Way to Big Profits By, Chuck Whitman Read More »
