I’ve been thinking about complex systems and how we relate to them as traders and investors quite a bit this past month. There is no sure and real way to understand, or solve or predict a complex system in a simplistic way. I talked about this when we discussed the January’s First Five Days indicator…
If you would like to read this article in a downloadable pdf format, click here. In 2021, the S&P Cryptocurrency Broad Digital Market (BDM) Index (Ticker: SPCBDM) launched with the objective of being a broad investable digital asset universe benchmark. The index launched on July 13, 2021 and has a 10-year history based on the index methodology…
In his various publications and workshops, Van would stress a set of important trading fundamentals referred to as “Tharp Think.” Tharp Think is a set of ideas and principles that he has found successful traders apply consistently. Some of them you have heard or read in other places but others I have only heard from…
History is replete with strategies that worked for a time, then became ineffective, and were subsequently abandoned. Examples can be found in sales and marketing, product design, and in all facets of entertainment from TV shows to stand-up comedy. But the easiest place to understand the phenomenon of once-dominant strategies losing their effectiveness might be…
Some errors just keep repeating themselves… much like the endless time loop in the classic film, Groundhog Day, starring Bill Murray. Let’s do a little myth-busting today—that savory task of uncovering indicators that don’t indicate what they’re supposed to. An indicator that gets a lot of press early each year is the “First Five Days”…
Part I: The World Market Model Happy New Year! Let’s see how the markets were feeling on the last trading day of 2022. We see very little green but lots of yellow and brown in the model on December 30th. Hmmm, not much happy in the holidays for the bulls this year end. Here are…
Investment analysts, academic researchers and political scientists have actively investigated potential factors and relationships impacting the economic landscape, market performance and political success. Strategic thinkers blend and triangulate each of these factors to develop a big-picture, multi-dimensional view. Most notably, Austrian-born Harvard professor, Joseph Schumpeter, studied three interrelated macro cycles: the Kondratieff, Juglar and Kitchin (Figure…
“Joy is the serious business of Heaven”. —C.S. Lewis, British Author I love the Christmas season for a variety of reasons. Of course, it’s a time to enthusiastically celebrate spiritual traditions: The birth of a baby in a manger and the miraculous burning of the last available sacred oil for eight days instead of one….
The S&P Cryptocurrency Broad Digital Market (BDM) Index (Ticker: SPCBDM) launched with the objective of being a broad, investable digital asset universe benchmark. The index launched on July 13, 2021 and has a 10-year history based on the index methodology on the launch date. Courtesy of S&P Dow Jones Indices, spglobal.com The index had a notable…
For most of 2022, the USD (DXY) king rocked, trending up by over 20%, defying gravity, sporting the equivalent of portfolio “blue suede shoes” – while other major assets collapsed! But market history teaches us that the strongest trends often give way to the greatest falls once they inevitably roll. In a previous analysis, I…
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Learn five pillars every trader must master. Download your free copy and take the first step to achieving trading excellence.
Learn five pillars every trader must master. Download your free copy and take the first step to achieving trading excellence.
Learn five pillars every trader must master. Download your free copy and take the first step to achieving trading excellence.
